Two candidates wearing the same albatross
My Internet bookie has Hillary Clinton and John McCain as 3-1 and 6-1 favorites to win the 2008 Presidential election.
John McCain 's problem is that he is now behind the curve. He is courting the radical right wing of the Republican Party, a group of folks the general public has grown increasingly weary of. He'll be dancing around issues such as evolution and stem cell research for the next two years. You can chalk him up in the 'stay the course' Iraq Occupation column too.
Hillary Clinton's albatross is also her 'stay the course' Iraq Occupation strategy.
The problem is that nothing, and I mean nothing, will go well with foreign and domestic policy until the Iraq Occupation is over. The Iraq Occupation sucks the funding and life from all policies that attempt to bring peace and prosperity to the world.
When J. P. Morgan was asked how the stock market would do, he replied, it will fluctuate. You can expect these betting futures to fluctuate too until the giant sucking sound called the Iraq Occupation is no longer heard.
2 Comments:
McCain's differentiator back in the day was that he was a "straight talker." Over the course of the past several years -- dispite occasionally standing up to the administration -- he has show himself to be more of an ass-kisser than a maverick.
Hillary is fighting two preceptions. The first is that the right wing has done their usual good job of creating a caricature of an opponent based on test marketed negative smears and inuendo. The second is of her own making, as you point out, with her pro-war position. Ironically, she is precieved as beeing too liberal and too conservative at the same time.
I think the next president is unknownable at this time. Two years is like two centuries in politcal time. A whole lot can happen in this time to affect the political landscape, but the trend in public preception and awareness seems to indicate Bush will have no coat-tails and indeed politicians seen as too close to Bush policies and thinking will not be helped by that association.
epm,
I thought William F. Buckley's recent comment that President Bush would have not legacy that conservative candidates would want to associate themselves with was rather telling.
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