Cubs Chances

I know my readers, especially the baseball fans, have been anxiously awaiting the results of my Cubs Monte Carlo simulation. Here's the results.

I ran a 1,000 trial simulation of the Cubs remaining 67 games assuming their current winning percentage of .505 as the p value. In only 43 out of 1,000 trials did the Cubs manage to achieve a winning percentage .600 or above in the last 67 games. That equates to 88 wins for the season.

I figure 88 wins is the absolute minimum they need to get a Wild Card spot.

Things are looking pretty grim. It is going to take a miracle.