Cubs Chances

This week's 200 trial Monte Carlo simulation shows the Cubs reaching 88 wins 7 times. If Houston, the leaders of the N. L. Wild Card race, continue on with their .541 winning percentage to the end of the season, they will win 88 games.

The Cubs have lost 6 of their last 7 games and fallen 1 game below .500, yet my crude simulation shows they have a 3.5% of making the playoffs, a rise over last week's results. The target number of wins was 90 last week which helps to explain part of the result. Randomness might explain the rest.

53 games remain in the Cubs' season.